Structural Description Method of the Sustainable Society Scenarios for Scenario Design

DS 58-2: Proceedings of ICED 09, the 17th International Conference on Engineering Design, Vol. 2, Design Theory and Research Methodology, Palo Alto, CA, USA, 24.-27.08.2009

Year: 2009
Editor: Norell Bergendahl, M.; Grimheden, M.; Leifer, L.; Skogstad, P.; Lindemann, U.
Author: Mizuno, Yuji; Kishita, Yusuke; Yamasaki, Yasuhiro; Fukushige, Shinichi; Umeda, Yasushi
Series: ICED
Section: Design Theory and Research Methodology
Page(s): 475-


Today, many scenarios are described for envisioning sustainable society such as the IPCC's Emissions Scenarios. These scenarios often employ simulators provide a basis for their descriptions. However, existing scenarios do not explicitly describe the relationship between scenario text and simulators e.g. its simulation conditions This spoils reusability of scenarios. We propose a scenario design methodology to improve scenario approach toward the sustainable society. We are developing Sustainable Society Scenario (3S) Simulator to support scenario design process. In this study, we propose a structural description method of scenarios for making new scenarios by reusing existing scenarios and simulators. A support system has been developed to modify and verify scenarios by using proposed structure. In a case study, scenario structure including simulator is clearly represented and we succeeded in describing new sub scenario easily by reusing existing scenario and simulator.

Keywords: Sustainable Society, Scenario, Simulator, Structural Description, Scenario Design


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